Statistical Implications: In the Dark Over China

May 21st, 2009 by Jesse Smith

One can easily imagine why it might be difficult to engage and inform the American public about some of China’s more complex political matters when we are still struggling with many of the basic ones. The chart below is revealing enough without a preamble, though with the disclaimer that sample size could be confounding this early data.

Only 33% Correctly Pick China's portion of the world population.

Had no one known the answer, we would have expect a correct choice rate of 20% (random guessing), rather than the observed 33%. So, at 13% over what random selection would predict, it appears that only approximately 1 out of 8 (12.5%) respondents knew, with any degree of conviction, the correct figure.

It looks like most individuals struggled choosing between 1/5 and 1/6 as their answer-choice. These people most likely used knowledge of two facts to get them even that far: 1) China has a population in surplus of 1 billion people. 2) The world’s population is over 6 billion people. Apparently, however, once people had to start figuring out how many hundreds of millions of people should be tacked on to the end of each of those figures respectively, the knowledge base broke down and people resorted to guessing.

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One Response to “Statistical Implications: In the Dark Over China”

  1. equasy says:

    Hi, discriminative posts there :-) through’s exchange for the intriguing information

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